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Local time-stepping for the shallow water equations using CFL optimized forward-backward Runge-Kutta schemes
J Lilly; G Capodaglio; D Engwirda; R Higdon; M Petersen
Journal of Computational Physics, 520
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Impacts of sea-level rise on coastal groundwater table simulated by an Earth system model with a land-ocean coupling scheme
D Xu; G Bisht; D Feng; Z Tan; L Li; H Qiu; R Leung
Earth's Future, 12
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A multiple-algorithm approach for modeling coastal wetland eco-geomorphology
Z Tan; R Leung; C Liao; L Carniello; J Rodríguez; P Saco; S Sandi
Frontiers in Earth Science, 12
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Observed increase in tropical cyclone-induced sea surface cooling near the U.S. Southeast Coast
E John; K Balaguru; R Leung; S Hagos; R Hetland
Geophysical Research Letters, 51
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Estuarine hurricane wind can intensify surge-dominated extreme water level in shallow and converging coastal systems
M Deb; J Benedict; N Sun; Z Yang; R Hetland; D Judi; T Wang
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 24(7)
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Simulation of compound flooding using river-ocean two-way coupled E3SM ensemble on variable-resolution meshes
D Feng; Z Tan; D Engwirda; J Wolfe; D Xu; C Liao; G Bisht; J Benedict; T Zhou; H Li; R Leung
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth 16
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A global increase in nearshore tropical cyclone intensification
K Balaguru; C Chang; R Leung; G Foltz; S Hagos; M Wehner; J Kossin; M Ting; W Xu
Earth's Future 12
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Global 1 km land surface parameters for kilometer-scale Earth system modeling
L Li; G Bisht; D Hao; R Leung
Earth System Science Data (16)
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Amplified Extreme Floods and Shifting Flood Mechanisms in the Delaware River Basin in Future Climates
N Sun; M Wigmosta; H Yan; H Eldardiry; Z Yang; M Deb; T Wang; D Judi
Earth's Future 12(3)
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Climate change will reduce North American inland wetland areas and disrupt their seasonal regimes
D Xu; G Bisht; Z Tan; E Sinha; A Di Vittorio; T Zhou; V Ivanov; L Leung
Nature Communications 15(1)
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Figure 1
Disentangling the hydrological and hydraulic controls on streamflow variability in Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) V2 – a case study in the Pantanal region
D Xu; G Bisht; Z Tan; C Liao; T Zhou; H Li; L Leung
Geosci. Model Dev. 17(3)
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A North Atlantic synthetic tropical cyclone track, intensity, and rainfall dataset
W Xu; K Balaguru; D Judi; J Rice; L Leung; S Lipari
Scientific Data 11(1)
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On the Sensitivity of Coastal Hypoxia to Its External Physical Forcings
P St‐Laurent; M Friedrichs
Journal Of Advances In Modeling Earth Systems 16(1)
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Figure 1
CFL Optimized Forward–Backward Runge–Kutta Schemes for the Shallow-Water Equations
J Lilly; D Engwirda; G Capodaglio; R Higdon; M Petersen
Mon. Wea. Rev. 151
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Figure 1
pyflowline: a mesh-independent river network generator for hydrologic models
C Liao; M Cooper
Journal of Open Source Software 8(91)
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Figure 1
Understanding the compound flood risk along the coast of the contiguous United States
D Feng; Z Tan; D Xu; R Leung
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 27(21)
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Figure 1
Topological Relationship-Based Flow Direction Modeling: Stream Burning and Depression Filling
C Liao; T Zhou; D Xu; Z Tan; G Bisht; M Cooper; D Engwirda; H Li; R Leung
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 15(11)
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Climate Change Signal in Atlantic Tropical Cyclones Today and Near Future
C Lee; A Sobel; M Tippett; S Camargo; M Wüest; M Wehner; H Murakami
Earth's Future 11(11)
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A cleaner snow future mitigates Northern Hemisphere snowpack loss from warming
D Hao; G Bisht; H Wang; D Xu; H Huang; Y Qian; L Leung
Nature Communications 14(1)
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A new method for predicting hurricane rapid intensification based on co-occurring environmental parameters
A Narayanan; K Balaguru; W Xu; L Leung
Nat Hazards 120
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Comparing land surface temperature and mean radiant temperature for urban heat mapping in Philadelphia
X Li; T Chakraborty; G Wang
Urban Climate 51
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Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Climatology, Extremes, and Flooding Potential from Remote Sensing and Reanalysis Datasets over the Continental United States
E Mazza; S Chen
Journal Of Hydrometeorology 24(9)
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Stronger Tropical Cyclone–Induced Ocean Cooling in Near-Coastal Regions Compared to the Open Ocean
N Da; G Foltz; K Balaguru; E Fernald
Journal of Climate 36
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Connecting Large‐Scale Meteorological Patterns to Extratropical Cyclones in CMIP6 Climate Models Using Self‐Organizing Maps
M Gore; C Zarzycki; M Gervais
Earth's Future 11(8)
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Intensification of Hurricane Sally (2020) over the Mississippi River Plume
E John; K Balaguru; L Leung; G Foltz; R Hetland; S Hagos
Weather And Forecasting 38(8)
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Figure 1
Structural model choices regularly overshadow parametric uncertainty in agent-based simulations of household flood risk outcomes
J Yoon; H Wan; B Daniel; V Srikrishnan; D Judi
Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 103
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Modulation of Tropical Cyclone Tracks and Rainfall by the North Atlantic Oscillation
E Mazza; S Chen
Journal Of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 128(13)
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Figure 1
Residential segregation and outdoor urban moist heat stress disparities in the United States
TC Chakraborty; A Newman; Y Qian; A Hsu; G Sheriff
One Earth 6(6)
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Figure 1
Sensitivity of the pseudo-global warming method under flood conditions: A case study from the Northeastern U.S
Z Xue; P Ullrich; R Leung
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 27(9)
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Figure 1
Inland Flooding and Rainfall from Hurricane Irene and Tropical Storm Lee (2011): Coupled Atmosphere-Wave-Ocean Model Simulations and Remote Sensing and in-Situ Observations With a Machine Learning Tool
B Kerns; S Chen
Wea. Forecasting 38
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Quantification of Physical and Numerical Mixing in a Coastal Ocean Model Using Salinity Variance Budgets
D Schlichting; L Qu; D Kobashi; R Hetland
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
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Projected change in U.S. hurricane risk based on Risk Analysis Framework for Tropical Cyclones (RAFT).
Increased U.S. coastal hurricane risk under climate change
K Balaguru; W Xu; C Chang; R Leung; D Judi; S Hagos; M Wehner; J Kossin; M Ting
Science Advances 9(14)
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The June 2012 North American Derecho: A Testbed for Evaluating Regional and Global Climate Modeling Systems at Cloud‐Resolving Scales
W Liu; P Ullrich; J Li; C Zarzycki; P Caldwell; L Leung; Y Qian
Journal Of Advances In Modeling Earth Systems 15(4)
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Figure 1
Interacting effects of watershed and coastal processes on the evolution of compound flooding during Hurricane Irene
D Mithun; N Sun; Z Yang; T Wang; D Judi; Z Xiao; M Wigmosta
Earth's Future 11(3)
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Figure 1
Barotropic tides in MPAS-Ocean (E3SM V2): impact of ice shelf cavities
N Pal; K Barton; M Petersen; S Brus; D Engwirda; B Arbic; A Roberts; J Westerink; D Wirasaet
Geosci. Model Dev. 16
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The spatiotemporal evolution of the water depth in Case 4 simulated by multiple models
Physics‐informed neural networks of the Saint‐Venant equations for downscaling a large‐scale river model
D Feng; Z Tan; Q He
Water Resources Research 59
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Amplified drought trends in Nepal increase the potential for Himalayan wildfires
B Pokharel; S Sharma; J Stuivenvolt-Allen; S Wang; M LaPlante; R Gillies; S Khanal
Climatic Change 176(2)
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Modeled flowline-guided Model for Prediction Across Scales mesh from Case 10 (clipped to the study domain).
Topological Relationship-Based Flow Direction Modeling: Mesh-Independent River Networks Representation
C Liao; T Zhou; D Xu; M Cooper; D Engwirda; H Li; R Leung
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 15(2)
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A closeup of two interacting rivulets illustrates how both the depth and breadth of streams is built up.
Extremely rapid, Lagrangian modeling of 2D flooding: A rivulet-based approach
W B Daniel; C Roth; C Rakowski; T McPherson; D Judi
Environmental Modelling & Software 161
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Model for Prediction Across Scales variable-resolution mesh on the East Coast of the U.S., with 2 km resolution in Delaware Bay.
Storm Surge Modeling as an Application of Local Time‐Stepping in MPAS‐Ocean
J Lilly; G Capodaglio; M Petersen; S Brus; D Engwirda; R Higdon
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 15(1)
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Illustrations
Potential weakening of the June 2012 North American derecho under future warming
J Li; Y Qian; R Leung; X Chen; Z Yang; Z Feng
JGR Atmospheres 128(2)
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Test function for uniform resolution case.
Scalable self attraction and loading calculations for unstructured ocean models
S Brus; K Barton; N Pal; A Roberts; D Engwirda; M Petersen; B Arbic; D Wirasaet; J Westerink; M Schindelegger
Ocean Modelling 182
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Figure 1
The hazard components of representative key risks. The physical climate perspective
C Tebaldi
Climate Risk Management 40
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Geographically aware estimates of remotely sensed water properties for Chesapeake Bay
J Stachelek; A Sofia; S Jon
Journal Of Applied Remote Sensing 16(04)
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Figure 1
Compound effects of rain, storm surge, and river discharge on coastal flooding during Hurricane Irene and Tropical Storm Lee (2011) in the Mid-Atlantic region: coupled atmosphere-wave-ocean model simulation and observations
B Kerns; S Chen
Nat Hazards 116
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Each large ensemble model's density plot and density difference of precipitation, surface air temperature, evapotranspiration, and net precipitation.
Changing Trends in Drought Patterns Over the Northeastern U.S. Using Multiple Large Ensemble Datasets
Z Xue; P Ullrich
Journal of Climate
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E3SM views near the mouths of the Susquehanna River and Delaware River at different magnifications.
Investigating coastal backwater effects and flooding in the coastal zone using a global river transport model on an unstructured mesh
D Feng; Z Tan; D Engwirda; C Liao; D Xu; G Bisht; T Zhou; H Li; R Leung
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 26
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Linear trends in precipitation during 1979–2019 based on the average of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project models and six large ensembles under external forcing in each season.
Roles of external forcing and internal variability to precipitation changes in a sub-region of the U.S. mid-Atlantic during 1979–2019
L Dong; R Leung
Journal of Geophysical Research 127(22)
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Impervious cover percentage in 2010 by block groups in (in order a–d) Connecticut, South Carolina, West Virginia, and New Mexico
Landscape metrics regularly outperform other traditionally-used ancillary datasets in dasymetric mapping of population
H Wan; J Yoon; V Srikrishnan; B Daniel; D Judi
Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 99
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Mixing Driven by Critical Reflection of Near-Inertial Waves over the Texas–Louisiana Shelf
L Qu; T Leif; H Robert; K Daijiro
J. Phys. Oceanogr. 52(11)
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Toward More Actionable Flood‐Risk Information
C Cooper; S Sharma; R Nicholas; K Keller
Earth's Future 10(11)
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Mixing Pathways in Simple Box Models
L Qu; R Hetland; D Schlichting
Journal of Physical Oceanography 52(11)
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Observed changes in near-coastal hurricanes (1979–2018).
Increasing hurricane intensification rate near the US Atlantic coast
K Balaguru; G Foltz; R Leung; W Xu
Geophys. Res. Lett. 49
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Example of spatially-smoothed output (right) of the self-attraction and loading (SAL) operator applied to an input field (left).
Global barotropic tide modeling using inline self-attraction and loading in MPAS-Ocean
K Barton; N Pal; S Brus; M Petersen; B Arbic; D Engwirda; A Roberts; J Westerink; D Wirasaet; M Schindelegger
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 14(11)
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Drivers of Phytoplankton Variability in and Near the Pearl River Estuary, South China Sea During Typhoon Hato
Y Feng; J Huang; Y Dan; K Balaguru; W Ma; Q Feng; X Wan; Y Zheng; X Guo; S Cai
JGR Biogeosciences 127(10)
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Rapid Vertical Exchange at Fronts in the Northern Gulf of Mexico
L Qu
Nature Communications 13(1)
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Evaluating the Influence of CAM5 Aerosol Configuration on Simulated Tropical Cyclones in the North Atlantic
J Huff; R Kevin; B Julio; W Michael
Climate 10(9)
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Social inequalities in climate change-attributed impacts of Hurricane Harvey
K Smiley; I Noy; M Wehner; D Frame; C Sampson; O Wing
Nature Communications 13(1)
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An algorithm for deriving the topology of belowground urban stormwater networks
T Chegini; H Li
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 26(16)
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Schematic of a multi-sector system model; two conceptual examples of how a food-energy-water system can be represented by coupled models of each sector.
Uncertainty Analysis in Multi-Sector Systems: Considerations for Risk Analysis, Projection, and Planning for Complex Systems
V Srikrishnan; D Lafferty; T Wong; J Lamontagne; J Quinn; S Sharma; N Molla; J Herman; R Sriver; J Morris; B Lee
Earth's Future 10(8)
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Validation of log-linear relationship between total volume and fractional inundation
Development of Land-River Two-Way Hydrologic Coupling for Floodplain Inundation in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model
D Xu; G Bisht; T Zhou; R Leung
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
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Annual climatology of heterogeneous and homogeneous precipitation over the continental U.S.
Spatial Heterogeneity Effects on Land Surface Modeling of Water and Energy Partitioning
L Li; G Bisht; R Leung
Geosci. Model Dev. 15
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Evaluation of simulated monthly runoff for 1991–2010 at grid level with default and optimal parameters.
Using a surrogate-assisted Bayesian framework to calibrate the runoff-generation scheme in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) v1
D Xu; G Bisht; L Chang; R Leung
Geosci. Model Dev. 15
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Declining tropical cyclone frequency under global warming
S Chand; W Kevin; C Suzana; K James; T Kevin; W Michael; C Johnny
Nature Climate Change 12(7)
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Graphs showing distribution of future elevation and vegetation biomass of the domain with a milder upland slope and a steeper upland slope
Impact of coastal marsh eco-geomorphologic change on saltwater intrusion under future sea level rise
Y Zhang; D Svyatsky; J Rowland; D Moulton; Z Cao; P Wolfram; C Xu; D Pasqualini
Water Resources Research 58
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Three world map views with color shading to show climatological tropical cyclone season mean rainfall from TCs, sea surface salinity response to TCs, and sea surface temperature response to TCs
Impact of rainfall on tropical cyclone-induced sea surface cooling
K Balaguru; G Foltz; R Leung; S Hagos
Geophys. Res. Lett. 49
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Color-coded maps
Assessing the large-scale drivers of precipitation in the northeastern United States via linear orthogonal decomposition
R Sukhdeo; P Ullrich; R Grotjahn
Climate Dynamics
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Impacts of urbanization and irrigation on distributions of sea-level pressure and wind at 700 hectopascals (hPa) during summer.
Impacts of large-scale urbanization and irrigation on summer precipitation in the Mid-Atlantic region
J Li; Y Qian; R Leung; Z Feng; C Sarangi; Y Liu; Z Yang
Geophys. Res. Lett. 49
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Attribution of 2020 hurricane season extreme rainfall to human-induced climate change
K Reed; M Wehner; C Zarzycki
Nature Communications 13(1)
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Seasonality of Interbasin SST Contributions to Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity
R West; H Lopez; S Lee; A Mercer; D Kim; G Foltz; K Balaguru
Geophysical Research Letters 49(4)
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Photo by NASA on Unsplash
Operational extreme weather event attribution can quantify climate change loss and damages
M Wehner; K Reed
PLOS Clim 1(2)
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Schematic of urban impact on weather and climate.
Urbanization impact on regional climate and extreme weather: current understanding, uncertainties, and future research directions
Y Qian; TC Chakraborty; J Li; D Li; C He; C Sarangi; F Chen; X Yang; R Leung
Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 39(6)
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Cell areas in proximity of the variable mesh resolution zone, shown with mesh displayed
Local time stepping for the shallow water equations in MPAS
G Capodaglio; M Petersen
Journal of Computational Physics 449
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A Novel Framework for Parametric Analysis of Coastal Transition Zone Modeling
T Chegini; G Coelho; J Ratcliff; C Ferreira; K Mandli; P Burke; H Li
Jawra Journal Of The American Water Resources Association 58(1)
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Collection of three images showing the location, surface elevation, and slope distribution of the Columbia River Basin.
Advances in hexagon mesh-based flow direction modeling
C Liao; T Zhou; D Xu; R Barnes; G Bisht; H Li; Z Tan; T Tesfa; Z Duan; D Engwirda; R Leung
Advances in Water Resources 160
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Simulation of depth of actual Hurricane Harvey flood in a South Houston neighborhood (top) and of the counterfactual flood without the current amount of climate change (bottom).
Attributing Extreme Weather: The New Science of Extreme Event Attribution
M Wehner
UNESCO Mathematics for Action Report pp37-38
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Urbanization amplifies nighttime heat stress on warmer days over the US
C Sarangi; Y Qian; J Li; R Leung; T Chakraborty; Y Liu
Geophysical Research Letters, 48
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Map showing the Mid-Atlantic region's 32 HUC8 subbasins, and locations of 50 USGS streamflow gages used for this analysis
Climatological analysis of tropical cyclone impacts on hydrological extremes in the Mid-Atlantic region of the United States
N Sun; M Wigmosta; D Judi; Z Yang; Z Xiao; T Wang
Environmental Research Letters 16
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Population density in 2000 by census tract in Connecticut (a), South Carolina (b), Oregon (c), and New Mexico (d).
Population downscaling using high-resolution, temporally-rich U.S. Property Data
H Wan; J Yoon; V Srikrishnan; B Daniel; D Judi
Cartography and Geographic Information Science 49
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HyRiver: Hydroclimate Data Retriever
T Chegini; H Li; R Leung
Journal Of Open Source Software 6(66)
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Annual number of all tropical storms (TS-cat5) as simulated by CAM5.1 at various global warming levels. Numbers in the center are number of simulated years for each numerical experiment. Error bars indicate standard error.
Simulated Changes in Tropical Cyclone Size, Accumulated Cyclone Energy and Power Dissipation Index in a Warmer Climate
M Wehner
Oceans 2
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Series of world maps with colored indicators titled "GWLs triggering a 100-fold increase in the 100-year ESL frequency"
Extreme Sea Levels at Different Global Warming Levels
C Tebaldi; R Ranasinghe; M Vousdoukas; D Rasmussen; B Vega-Westhoff; E Kirezci; R Kopp; R Sriver; L Metaschi
Nature Climate Change 11
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U.S. map showing hydrologic regions used in the paper
A Comprehensive Intermediate-Term Drought Evaluation System and Evaluation of Climate Data Products over the Conterminous United States
Z Xue; P Ullrich
J. Hydrometeorology 22(9)
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Figures showing model domain and bathymetry and placement of tidal and river gauges in the Delaware Bay Estuary
Characterizing the nonlinear interactions between tide, storm surge, and river flow in the Delaware Bay Estuary, USA
Z Xiao; Z Yang; T Wang; N Sun; M Wigmosta; D Judi
Frontiers in Marine Science 8
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Four charts showing synthetic and observed tropical cyclone tracks, intensity distribution, and landfall counts
Deep Learning Experiments for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasts
W Xu; K Balaguru; A August; N Lalo; N Hodas; M DeMaria; D Judi
Weather and Forecasting 36(4)
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Map drawings with elevation, moisture, and sea level pressure markings and coloration
Summer Mean and Extreme Precipitation over the Mid-Atlantic Region: Climatological Characteristics and Contributions from Different Precipitation Types
J Li; Y Qian; L Leung; Z Feng
J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 126
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Multiple squares showing maps of Northeastern U.S. with historical and future heat coloring
A Retrospective and Prospective Examination of the 1960s U.S. Northeast Drought
Z Xue; P Ullrich
Earth's Future 9(7)
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Diagram
Integrating CVMix into GOTM (v6.0): a consistent framework for testing, comparing, and applying ocean mixing schemes
Q Li; J Bruggeman; H Burchard; K Klingbeil; L Umlauf; K Bolding
Geoscientific Model Development 14(7)
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Color-coded map showing simulation of actual and counterfactual flood in South Houston and Pasadena neighborhoods
Attributable human-induced changes in the magnitude of flooding in the Houston, Texas region during Hurricane Harvey
M Wehner; C Sampson
Climatic Change 166
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United states maps with color coding
A High-Resolution Unified Observational Database of Mesoscale Convective Systems and Isolated Deep Convection in the United States for 2004-2017
J Li; Z Feng; Y Qian; L Leung
Earth System Science Data 13
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Schematic of interconnected components of coastal adaption science framework, depicting natural system stressors, their impacts, and infrastructure optimization responses
Challenges in predicting the coevolution of natural and human systems on coastal regions
D Pasqualini; J Rowland
US CLIVAR Variations Fall 2020 18(3)
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Spatiotemporal Characteristics and Propagation of Summer Extreme Precipitation Events Over United States: A Complex Network Analysis
S Mondal; A Mishra; R Leung
Geophysical Research Letters 47(15)
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